Name: Calibrated
Brand: DEPLOYR
Price: 199 USD
Availability: PreOrder

Picture this

Who it is for

Rahul writes a weekly crypto newsletter full of calls. Calibrated stores each call with a date and resolves it later, so readers see he is right 68 percent of the time at stated confidence, and he grows on honesty instead of hype.

Two ways to own it

What you get

Base$199

$50 deposit to reserve

Call creation with confidence, timed resolution by owner plus reader dispute, Brier score profile, embeddable widget.

You choose: chain
You choose: name and logo
You choose: accent color
You choose: resolution source

Customfrom $1,500

Built around you

Reshape it entirely: new features, your flows, your brand end to end, integrations you need. We scope it with you.

Everything in Base
Custom features and design
Priority build

Why it is new

What exists today, and what this does differently

What is new

Onchain Brier scoring exists for agents; an owned calibration profile for any human expert is the uncommon angle.

Closest things out there

Pantheon (Casper hackathon) and Foresight Arena score AI forecasters onchain with Brier scores; Metaculus and Good Judgment score humans on their own platforms.

Checked with web searches in October 2026. A search is not proof that nothing similar exists, and the market moves fast, so we recheck before every build.

What it unlocks

The human in it

Turns your judgment into a measurable, ownable track record.

The Regatta Board

Races it can enter

grant · Base · rolling

Base Builder Grants

rolling, retroactive

Official page ↗

Retroactive for shipped Base apps.

Their rule on existing code: Existing shipped projects OK (retroactive)

What you own

The whole app, not a starter kit.

The complete Calibrated app: writers seal every call with a confidence, a source and a date, readers see one honest score, with a paywall, reader disputes and a resolver agent built in.

Base price · $199

The user app, complete

Every buyer gets the same finished app. Basic branding and copy changes come through a quick form.

Three step onboardingHome

Shown once: seal before the answer, the date decides, one honest number.

Next action and activityHome

Tonight's call, what is sealed, what resolved, and a live activity feed.

Call form with confidenceSeal

Pick the call, set confidence from 50 to 95%, see the Brier cost of being wrong before sealing.

Rule check on wordingSeal

Vague drafts are caught and a tighter wording with a number, source and date is suggested.

Sealing as an attestationSeal

The call hash is recorded on Base or Arbitrum. After sealing it cannot be edited.

Custom resolution sourcesSeal

Name your own source page, read on the date. Gated behind Pro.

Call board and resolutionCalls

Filter open, hit and missed calls; resolve on the date with a median of price feeds; misses struck in red.

Onchain receiptsCalls

What is onchain (call, resolution, running Brier) and what never is (newsletter text, reader names).

Friday board and digestFriday

Weekly resolution review with a streak, and a digest sent to readers.

Reader leaderboardFriday

Readers ranked by their own Brier score. Gated behind Pro.

Brier profile and share cardScore

Score by quarter against an always 50% baseline, plus a shareable honest line.

Calibration curve and newsletter widgetScore

Curve by confidence bucket and a one line embed for Substack or Ghost. Gated behind Pro.

Plans, checkout and settingsMe

Pricing from the owner paywall, USDC checkout with receipt, digest and notice settings.

Open the full app demo

Add-on

Owner console

Your admin side: revenue, paywall editor, users, rules and the agent log.

Revenue and paywall editorRevenue

MRR, incoming USDC payments, payouts, payment methods, and live editing of tiers, prices, free call limit and gates.

Rules, disputes, agent log and roadmapRules

Vague call blocking, feeds in the median, dispute window, reviewers; the Disputes queue, Agent log and priced Roadmap.

Top-up

Growth and referrals

Referral and growth mechanics, switched on when you are ready to grow.

Growth loops and cohortsGrowth

Friday run for all writers, widget embeds, readers becoming writers, referrals and cohort retention.

The money path, built in

How it earns for you

Writers seal, resolve and show their Brier score for free. Serious writers pay for Pro tools, and publications pay for many writers under one masthead.

WriterFreeUp to 10 sealed calls a month, public profile and Brier score, disputes, Friday digest

Pro$12 a monthUnlimited calls, newsletter widget, calibration curve, custom resolution sources, reader leaderboard

Publication$79 a monthMany writers under one masthead, team calibration, scores API for articles

Gas is under 2 cents per sealed and resolved call and can be sponsored by the owner. Payments settle in USDC on Base by default.

Prices are yours to set. Illustrative, not a promise of income.

Growth loops, built in

How it spreads

Newsletter widget in every issue shows the honest number to a whole list
Friday resolution day digest brings readers back every week
Readers with a good Brier are invited to start their own page
Share card: when I say 70%, I am right 68% of the time
Writer to writer referral codes worth a free month for both

Roadmap · build the next phase with us

Where it goes next

v1 included

The full writer app

Call form with rule check and confidence
Sealing as attestations on Base
Median feed resolution and reader disputes
Brier profile, Friday board, plans and checkout

Included

More sources and reader scoring

Resolution sources for sports, elections and launches
Readers score their own guesses every Friday
Email and Telegram Friday digest
Arbitrum deployment

Add-on from $400

Publications and the scores API

Many writers under one masthead
Team calibration and byline badges
Scores API for articles and podcasts
Niche leaderboards with sponsor slots

Add-on from $900

For investors and grant reviewers

The pitch, ready

A public score of how often your predictions actually came true, sealed before the answer.

Problem: Writers and analysts make public calls every week, but nobody keeps an honest score. Misses get deleted, hits get repeated, and readers cannot tell a careful thinker from a loud one.

Solution: Each call is sealed as an attestation with a confidence, a source and a date. It resolves on the date, readers can dispute, and the writer gets a Brier score and calibration curve they cannot quietly edit.

Why now: Attestations on Base cost under a cent, embedded email wallets remove crypto friction, and small models can check wording before a call is sealed.

Market: Newsletter writers, research analysts, podcasters and the publications behind them, starting with crypto writers and growing into sports, elections and tech.

The ask: Ten launch writers with real audiences, a Base Builder Grant, and one publication willing to put calibration next to every byline.

Funding is never guaranteed. Check each program's rules.

For hackathons and demo days

Your 2 minute demo

Home: meet Rahul, 34, at a corner table in Indiranagar, issue #212 with five calls.
Seal: pick the ETH call at 70%, see the ETF draft get flagged as vague, then seal call #142.
Calls: skip ahead to 31 Dec, three feeds disagree, the median decides, confirm it came true.
Owner Disputes: Priya disputes call #137, two reviewers vote and the score is released.
Score: the honest line, 68% at 70%, then the Pro gated curve and newsletter widget.
Owner Revenue: change the Pro price in the paywall editor and preview the Plans screen.
Owner Growth: run Friday for all writers and watch writers, upgrades and embeds land.
Owner Roadmap: request the v2 sources and reader scoring build.

Many hackathons require code written at the event. See the Regatta Boardfor each race's rule.

Make it entirely yours

Custom work from $1,500: your own resolution source adapters, a branded publication deployment, CMS integrations beyond Substack and Ghost, or extra languages. Scoped on a call.

Custom from $1,500

BLUEPRINT

Why it matters and how it really works

The need

Newsletter writers, analysts and creators make public predictions every week, but nobody keeps an honest score. Misses get deleted or forgotten and hits get repeated. Readers cannot tell a careful thinker from a loud one, and honest writers have no way to prove they are careful.

What exists and what is new

Scoring forecasts is not new. Metaculus and Good Judgment score human forecasters with Brier scores, but only on their own platforms and questions. Pantheon (a Casper hackathon project) and Foresight Arena score AI forecasters onchain with Brier scores. Research verdict: rare, medium novelty. What this app adds is an owned calibration profile for any human expert, on their own calls in their own newsletter, with calls sealed onchain before the answer, reader disputes, and an embeddable widget. It applies known scoring to a new audience rather than inventing the scoring.

The data it runs on

The text of each call, its stated confidence, resolution date and resolution rule, chosen by the writer. Public resolution sources such as price feeds and official notices. Reader disputes and reviewer votes. Only hashes of calls and their resolutions go onchain; newsletter content and reader identities stay offchain.

1.The mission

Let anyone who makes predictions build a track record they cannot quietly edit, and let readers trust people for being right rather than loud.

2.Why people can't resist it

One honest number When I say 70%, I am right 68% of the time. A single, checkable line that careful writers love to share.

Friday resolution day Every Friday the due calls resolve. Readers come back to see who was right, and can score their own guesses against the writer.

Misses that stay Wrong calls stay on the page, struck in red. It sounds like a downside; it is exactly why readers believe the hits.

3.How it works for real

Accounts: Privy email or social login with an embedded wallet on Base or Arbitrum for the writer. Readers can follow and dispute with an email login.

Sealing a call: The call text, confidence, date and resolution rule are hashed and recorded as an Ethereum Attestation Service (EAS) attestation on Base. After sealing, the call cannot be edited, only voided with a public note.

Rule checks: Before sealing, a small model (for example Claude Haiku via OpenRouter) checks that the call has a number, a source and a date, and suggests tighter wording. It never chooses the confidence.

Resolution: On the date, a worker reads the named source: a median of several price feeds or oracles such as Chainlink for prices, or a link to an official notice for events. The writer confirms and the resolution is attested.

Disputes: Any reader can dispute within 7 days. Two reviewers with resolved track records vote; the score is held until they agree. The writer cannot resolve their own disputed call.

Scoring and widget: Brier scores and a calibration curve by confidence bucket are computed from attestations and shown on a profile page and an embeddable newsletter widget.

4.Cost per use and pricing

An EAS attestation on Base usually costs well under one cent in gas, so sealing and resolving a call is roughly one to two cents at most. A rule check on a small model is a fraction of a cent per call. Example month for a writer with 20 calls and 5,000 readers viewing the widget: under $1 gas, under $0.20 model, and about $20 hosting shared across writers.

Writer Free

Up to 10 sealed calls a month, public profile and Brier score.

Pro $12 a month

Unlimited calls, newsletter widget, calibration curve, custom resolution sources and reader leaderboards.

Publication $79 a month

Many writers under one masthead, team calibration, and an API for embedding scores on articles.

5.Growth loop

Writers share their calibration line and embed the widget in every issue. Readers who score their own guesses on Friday become writers themselves. A good score is a reason to send traffic; a public profile is a quiet challenge to rivals.

6.Risks and guardrails

Not financial advice: Calls about prices can be read as advice. Show clear notices, never link calls to trading, and never present a good score as a promise of future accuracy.

Gaming with easy calls: Writers can pad scores with obvious calls. Show the confidence mix, highlight bold calls, and compare against a 50% baseline.

Bad resolution sources: A single feed can be wrong or manipulated. Use medians across sources, show the spread, and allow disputes.

Vague wording: Vague calls cannot be scored fairly. Block sealing without a number, source and date, and void unresolvable calls in public.

Harassment over misses: Public misses can attract abuse. Moderate replies, and keep disputes to the facts of the rule.

7.Build order

Writer login and call form with confidence, date and rule
Seal calls as EAS attestations on Base
Price feed resolution with a median of sources
Profile page with Brier score and calibration curve
Reader disputes with two reviewers
Embeddable newsletter widget and Friday digest

8.Where this is going

Now
Crypto writers seal weekly calls on Base and show one honest calibration line.
Next
More resolution sources for sports, elections and tech launches, and reader scoring on Friday.
Later
Publications and podcasts show calibration next to every byline, and readers filter feeds by it.
The world it builds
Public judgment is trusted for its record, not its volume, and being careful becomes the way to grow.

Costs and tools are estimates at the time of writing. General information only, not legal or financial advice.

OWNER PLAYBOOK

Own it, then chart your voyage

Nine routes from one vessel. Tap a port to open its chart.

Why own Calibrated

Calibrated turns every call you make into a dated, resolved record that lives at your own address, under your own name. On someone else's platform your track record belongs to them and disappears when you leave; on yours, your hit rate is a public asset that follows you to every newsletter, podcast and job. Readers stop asking whether you are loud and start seeing whether you are right.

What’s stopping you?

“What if my score is bad?”

Then you learn it before your readers do. Run it privately for four weeks, look at your Brier score, and only publish the widget once you are comfortable. A 60 percent hit rate shown honestly beats a 90 percent claim nobody can check, and the score rewards stating lower confidence when you are unsure.

“I can't code.”

You do not need to. You create a call in a form, pick a confidence, set a resolution date, and resolve it when the date arrives. The embeddable widget is one line you paste into Substack, Ghost or your site builder, and DEPLOYR ships it set up.

“Who decides if a call came true?”

You resolve it, and readers can dispute. Every resolution and dispute is recorded, so cheating on your own calls is visible to everyone. Pick a clear resolution source when you write the call (a price feed, a public announcement, a named date) and disputes stay rare.

“Is it really mine?”

Yes. The contract deploys from your wallet and the calls are signed by you. If DEPLOYR vanished tomorrow, your record would still be readable onchain and you could point any frontend at it.

“Is publishing financial calls risky where I live?”

Calibrated records predictions, it does not give advice or take money for trades. Still, if your calls are about assets, add a plain not financial advice line and check your local rules on paid signals before you charge for them. Many owners avoid this entirely by calling events, launches and metrics instead of prices.

The million-dollar ladder

Calibrated earns in three ways: a paid tier for your readers who want early access to calls before they go public, a hosted version you rent to other writers and analysts who want their own score, and sponsorship from tools that want to sit next to a verified track record. This is a target to aim at, not a promise.

$80

$3,000

$18,000

$85,000

First 10 paying readers

10 readers on early-access calls

$8 per month

A newsletter people trust

250 readers on early access

$12 per month

Hosted for other analysts

120 analysts renting their own Calibrated page

$150 per month

The calibration layer for a niche

425 analysts and funds on a team plan

$200 per month

Publish your own score monthly, good or bad, so your page is the proof the product works.
Offer a leaderboard for a niche (crypto research, sports, tech launches) where every entrant needs a hosted page.
Sell a team plan to research shops that want each analyst scored separately.
Let sponsors buy one slot on the public profile page, never inside the calls themselves.

Illustrative stages, not a forecast. Results depend on you and the market; nothing here is guaranteed.