Picture this

Who it is for

Musa lost a bet on a technicality. Resolve Watch reads resolution criteria for his positions, flags ambiguity, and alerts him on disputes.

Two ways to own it

What you get

Base$99

$25 deposit to reserve

Position import, AI rule summaries, dispute alerts

You choose: chain
You choose: name and logo
You choose: accent color

Customfrom $600

Built around you

Reshape it entirely: new features, your flows, your brand end to end, integrations you need. We scope it with you.

Everything in Base
Custom features and design
Priority build

Why it is new

What exists today, and what this does differently

Why own your own

AI resolution-rule analysis for Polymarket already exists; per-held-position tracking is a small extension.

Closest things out there

BetAudit uses AI to flag tricky clauses in Polymarket resolution rules before trading, PolymarketScan offers AI rules analysis with alerts, and Orrery tracks UMA dispute states as resolution risk.

Checked with web searches in October 2026. A search is not proof that nothing similar exists, and the market moves fast, so we recheck before every build.

What it unlocks

The human in it

Saves reading time and costly surprises.

What you own

The whole app, not a starter kit.

The complete Resolve Watch app: prediction market traders import positions read only, get every resolution rule in plain words with times on their own clock, and hear about disputes with both arguments, with a paywall, owner console and clause reader built in.

Base price · $99

The user app, complete

Every buyer gets the same finished app. Basic branding and copy changes come through a quick form.

Three step onboardingHome

Shown once: right call lost on a sentence, every rule in plain words, a whistle when a dispute opens.

Watch progress and next actionHome

Imported, read, dispute and Friday, with positions watched, flags and stake at risk.

Read only position importPositions

Wallets read without signing or trading permissions, shown as a wall of slips with yellow and red cards.

More wallets and positionsPositions

More than 5 positions and a second wallet. Gated behind Watcher.

Plain words rule summariesRules

One sentence per rule, the trap highlighted, and the original rule always visible.

Clock trap converterRules

Every time in a rule converted to the user's zone, with a reminder offer.

Summaries in any languageRules

Swahili and other languages next to the English rule. Gated behind Watcher.

Dispute timeline and both argumentsDisputes

Proposal, dispute, vote window and both sides' arguments, with no advice. Arguments gated behind Watcher.

Chat alertsDisputes

WhatsApp, Telegram or SMS alerts with quiet hours that red cards override. Gated behind Watcher.

Friday spot the trapFriday

A weekly clause quiz with a streak and share card.

Plans and settingsMe

Pricing from the owner paywall with crypto checkout, alert channel and quiet hours.

Open the full app demo

Add-on

Owner console

Your admin side: revenue, paywall editor, users, rules and the agent log.

Revenue and paywall editorRevenue

MRR from Watcher and Desk, payouts, incoming USDC, payment methods and live editing of tiers, prices and gates.

Disputed wording archiveArchive

Add disputed phrases to the archive that sharpens flags, and track creator embeds.

Rules, agent log and roadmapRules

Flag sensitivity, archive matching, red card overrides and summary attestations; plus the Agent log and priced Roadmap.

Top-up

Growth and referrals

Referral and growth mechanics, switched on when you are ready to grow.

Fine print weeks and referralsGrowth

Run a fine print week in a trading group, see loops and simulate referrals.

The money path, built in

How it earns for you

Reading five positions is free. Active traders pay for Watcher to cover everything they hold in their language and chat app, and small funds and groups pay for Desk.

FreeFreeUp to 5 watched positions, email alerts, English summaries

Watcher$5 a monthUnlimited positions, WhatsApp, Telegram or SMS, any language, dispute alerts with both arguments

Desk$29 a monthFor small funds and groups: many wallets, shared alerts, CSV export of rule risks

No fees on positions. The app never trades, signs or moves funds.

Prices are yours to set. Illustrative, not a promise of income.

Growth loops, built in

How it spreads

Near miss share cards that travel in trading group chats
The shareable Friday spot the trap quiz
Creator embeds of plain words summaries that link back
A public archive of disputed wording that earns search traffic
Trader referrals worth a free Watcher month

Roadmap · build the next phase with us

Where it goes next

v1 included

The full rule watcher

Read only position import
Plain words rule summaries
Clock trap converter
Dispute alerts with both arguments
Paywall, owner console, clause reader

Included

More venues and groups

More market venues and chains
Group alerts for trading circles
Creator embed widget
CSV risk export

Add-on from $400

Rule writing assistant

Lint rules before a market opens
Suggested clearer wording
Dispute risk score for creators
Public archive API

Add-on from $900

For investors and grant reviewers

The pitch, ready

Every prediction market rule you hold, in plain words on your clock, with a whistle when a dispute opens.

Problem: Traders lose calls they got right on technicalities: extra time not counted, a deadline in another time zone, a draft that may or may not count. Rules are long and nobody rereads them or notices disputes.

Solution: A read only importer pulls positions; a cheap model extracts conditions and times, a stronger one checks flagged clauses against an archive of disputed wording; an indexer watches oracle disputes and sends both arguments by chat.

Why now: Prediction markets have grown into everyday use worldwide, and cheap models make reading every rule affordable.

Market: Prediction market traders, trading groups and small funds, plus the creators who write the rules.

The ask: Partnerships with two market venues for creator embeds, and a pilot with East African trading groups.

Funding is never guaranteed. Check each program's rules.

For hackathons and demo days

Your 2 minute demo

Home: meet Musa at his Kariakoo stall after losing a call on a technicality.
Positions: import read only and see four slips with yellow and red cards.
Rules: the BTC market closes at 12:00 ET, 19:00 his time; hit the Watcher paywall for Swahili and pay in USDC.
Disputes: the toll market is disputed; read both arguments, no advice.
Friday: spot the trap and share it.
Owner Agent: flagging everything, then missing a clock trap, both fixed.
Owner Revenue and Archive: change the Watcher price, add a disputed phrase to the archive.
Owner Growth and Roadmap: run a fine print week, then request the rule writing assistant.

Many hackathons require code written at the event. See the Regatta Boardfor each race's rule.

Make it entirely yours

Custom work from $600: more venues, group features, local languages or a creator branded version. Scoped on a call.

Custom from $600

BLUEPRINT

Why it matters and how it really works

The need

Prediction market traders lose money on technicalities: extra time not counted, a deadline in another time zone, a draft report that may or may not count. Rules are public but long, and nobody rereads them for every position, or notices when a dispute opens.

What exists and what is new

This largely exists. BetAudit uses AI to flag tricky clauses in Polymarket resolution rules before trading, PolymarketScan offers AI rules analysis with alerts, and Orrery tracks UMA dispute states as resolution risk. Resolve Watch is a modest extension: it starts from the positions you already hold, flags only wording that caused trouble in past markets, converts every deadline to your clock, and alerts on disputes in your language and channel. Research verdict: exists, low novelty. Its value is focus and delivery, not a new capability.

The data it runs on

Public wallet positions on Polygon, each market's rules, clarifications and resolution source, UMA optimistic oracle proposals, disputes and votes, and an archive of past resolved and disputed markets used to judge which wording is risky. The user's alert settings stay offchain.

1.The mission

Nobody should lose a call they got right because of a sentence they never read.

2.Why people can't resist it

Red card in minutes A new dispute on a market you hold reaches you fast, with both arguments in plain words.

Your clock, not theirs Every deadline shown in your time zone, with a one tap reminder.

Friday spot the trap A five minute quiz built from real disputed wording. A streak that makes you a better rule reader.

3.How it works for real

Read only wallet import: Paste addresses or connect with Privy in read mode. Positions are read from public Polygon data and market APIs. No signing, no trading permissions.

Rule and dispute indexer: An indexer pulls each market's rules and clarifications and watches UMA optimistic oracle proposal, dispute and vote events on Polygon.

Clause risk model: A cheap model tier (for example Claude Haiku or a comparable OpenRouter model) extracts conditions, sources and times; a mid tier (for example Claude Sonnet) runs only on flagged clauses, compared against an archive of past disputed wording.

Time normalizer: Every time and date in a rule is parsed and converted to the user's zone, with daylight saving handled.

Alerts: WhatsApp Business, Telegram bot or SMS, with quiet hours that red card disputes can override.

Optional proof of the read: A fingerprint of each summary can be attested with EAS on Base so the app cannot quietly rewrite what it told you.

4.Cost per use and pricing

Per new position: Haiku tier extraction of a few thousand tokens is under 1 cent; a Sonnet tier pass on the roughly 1 in 8 flagged rules is 2 to 4 cents. Dispute watching is indexer reads, a fraction of a cent. WhatsApp or SMS alerts cost 1 to 5 cents each depending on country. Example month for 500 users holding 10 new positions each: about $70 model, $40 indexer, $60 messaging, $30 hosting, roughly $200.

Free Free

Up to 5 watched positions, email alerts, English summaries.

Watcher $5 a month

Unlimited positions, WhatsApp, Telegram or SMS, any language, dispute alerts with both arguments.

Desk $29 a month

For small funds and groups: many wallets, shared alerts, CSV export of rule risks.

5.Growth loop

Share cards from near misses travel in trading group chats. The Friday quiz is shareable. Market creators can embed a plain words rule summary that links back, and a public archive of disputed wording earns search traffic.

6.Risks and guardrails

Wrong or missing flags: The model can miss a trap or misread one. Always show the original rule, say it is an aid, not advice, and never claim certainty about outcomes.

Seen as betting advice: It explains rules and shows both sides of disputes; it never says which side to take or predicts votes.

Legal access: Prediction markets are restricted in some countries. Resolve Watch reads public data and does not provide market access.

Alert fatigue: Too many flags make users stop reading, as week 1 showed. Flag only wording that caused trouble before, and measure read rates.

Wallet privacy: Watched addresses link a person to positions. Store minimal data, allow deletion, and never publish who watches what.

7.Build order

Read only import of positions for one or more addresses
Rule extraction with plain words summary and original text side by side
Time normalizer to the user's zone with reminders
UMA dispute watcher with red card alerts
Risk flags trained on an archive of past disputed wording
Friday spot the trap digest

8.Where this is going

Now
One trader, every rule they hold read in plain words, disputes caught in minutes.
Next
Market creators use the same checks before launch, so fewer vague rules ever go live.
Later
A public, versioned archive of how every disputed clause resolved, a common law for prediction markets.
The world it builds
Markets where people win or lose on what happened in the world, not on how a sentence was worded.

Costs and tools are estimates at the time of writing. General information only, not legal or financial advice.

OWNER PLAYBOOK

Own it, then chart your voyage

Nine routes from one vessel. Tap a port to open its chart.

Why own Resolve Watch

Prediction market traders lose real money on fine print they never read. Resolve Watch imports a trader's positions, summarizes each market's resolution rules in plain words, flags ambiguity and alerts them when a dispute opens. Owning it means the alert list, the subscribers and the reputation as the person who reads the fine print are yours, not a dashboard you rent.

What’s stopping you?

“I can't code. Can I run an AI tool?”

Yes. Position import, AI rule summaries and dispute alerts are built. You set the chain, name and colors, deploy with the guide, and add your AI key. Your job is finding traders who need it.

“What if the AI summary is wrong?”

It can be. Show the original rule text next to every summary, label summaries as aids not advice, and invite users to flag errors. Never tell anyone how a market will resolve.

“Is prediction market trading legal where I live?”

It varies a lot by country and by state. Resolve Watch only reads public rules and positions, but your users must follow their own local rules. Do not market to places where using these markets is restricted, and check with a lawyer before charging at scale.

“Don't free tools already do this?”

Some do parts of it. Your edge is focus on positions people actually hold, alerts that arrive in their chat app, and you as a trusted reader in your community.

“What if nobody pays?”

Start free for a few power traders and watch whether alerts save them money. If they do, they will pay; if they do not, the alerts need to be sharper.

The million-dollar ladder

Traders pay a monthly subscription for rule summaries and dispute alerts on their held positions. Later, trading groups pay for a shared alert channel, and analysts pay for a pro tier with history of disputed markets.

$90

$4,800

$52,500

$85,000

First 10 traders

10 subscribers

$9 per month

One trading community

400 subscribers

$12 per month

Known resolution watcher

3,500 subscribers