Name: Forecast Pedigree
Brand: DEPLOYR
Price: 179 USD
Availability: PreOrder

Picture this

Who it is for

Tunde has quietly been well calibrated on Polymarket for two years. Forecast Pedigree reads his resolved positions, computes Brier style calibration by topic, and issues a badge that research DAOs use to invite forecasters.

Two ways to own it

What you get

Base$179

$45 deposit to reserve

Wallet import, calibration by category, attested badge, public page

You choose: chain
You choose: name and logo
You choose: accent color

Customfrom $1,000

Built around you

Reshape it entirely: new features, your flows, your brand end to end, integrations you need. We scope it with you.

Everything in Base
Custom features and design
Priority build

Why it is new

What exists today, and what this does differently

Why own your own

Wallet-level Polymarket calibration scoring is already live; portability as a credential is the remaining difference.

Closest things out there

Convexly takes a Polymarket wallet and returns per-category Brier calibration and an Edge Score, and SimpleFunctions publishes calibration data.

Checked with web searches in October 2026. A search is not proof that nothing similar exists, and the market moves fast, so we recheck before every build.

What it unlocks

The human in it

Proves what you actually know about the world.

The Regatta Board

Races it can enter

grant · Polygon · rolling

Polygon Community Grants

seasonal; current season unknown

Official page ↗

Existing projects OK

Their rule on existing code: Existing projects OK

grant · Gitcoin · upcoming

Gitcoin Grants rounds

quarterly-ish rounds; next round dates unknown

Official page ↗

Only if open sourced; existing OSS projects OK

Their rule on existing code: Existing open-source projects OK (generally required)

What you own

The whole app, not a starter kit.

The complete Forecast Pedigree app: forecasters link their prediction market wallets, get scored for calibration by topic with misses included, and carry an attested badge that research teams use to invite them, with a paywall and scoring agent built in.

Base price · $179

The user app, complete

Every buyer gets the same finished app. Basic branding and copy changes come through a quick form.

Three step onboardingHome

Shown once: your record is already there, judgment not profit, a pedigree you can carry.

Pedigree status and next actionHome

Brier score, calls, weekly streak and one next step.

Wallet link and importImport

Link wallets with a signed message, pick topics and score resolved positions.

A lucky wallet pathImport

A wallet with one big win and nine calls is not scored as calibrated.

Reliability chartScore

What they said against how often it happened.

Calibration by topicScore

Brier dials per topic, with open and disputed markets listed as not scored.

Sunday digestScore

Newly resolved calls and score changes. Gated behind Pedigree.

Pedigree certificate and attestationBadge

A certificate badge issued on Base, revocable.

Topic badgesBadge

A badge per strong topic. Gated behind Pedigree.

Public pedigree pageBadge

A public page with embeds. Gated behind Pedigree.

Plans and USDC checkoutMe

Forecaster, Pedigree and Scout tiers through the shared USDC checkout.

Open the full app demo

Add-on

Owner console

Your admin side: revenue, paywall editor, users, rules and the agent log.

Revenue and paywall editorRevenue

MRR, incoming USDC, payment methods, tiers and gates.

Scoring rulesRules

Minimum calls, window, disputed exclusions and per market weighting.

Scoring agent logAgent

The profit mistake and disputed markets, and how scoring changed.

Roadmap build requestsRoadmap

v2 and v3 scopes with add-on prices.

Top-up

Growth and referrals

Referral and growth mechanics, switched on when you are ready to grow.

Research inviteBadge

A research collective invites the forecaster after the badge.

Research DAO loop and referralsGrowth

Sign a research DAO, badge links, leaderboard and referral codes.

The money path, built in

How it earns for you

Scoring is free; forecasters pay for a public pedigree and research teams pay for Scout search, in USDC.

ForecasterFreePrivate scoring by topic, one overall badge, misses included

Pedigree$12 a monthPublic page with embeds, topic badges, Sunday digest

Scout$450 a monthSearch forecasters by topic and invite them, for research teams

Attestations cost well under a cent on Base; refreshes under a cent per wallet.

Prices are yours to set. Illustrative, not a promise of income.

Growth loops, built in

How it spreads

Badge links shared in group chats and applications
Research teams asking candidates for a pedigree
A monthly topic leaderboard of calibration
Forecaster referral codes

Roadmap · build the next phase with us

Where it goes next

v1 included

The full pedigree

Wallet link with proof
Resolved position indexer
Brier and reliability by topic
Public page with exclusions
Revocable attestation and paywall

Included

Scout search

Search by topic and score
Consent based invites
Monthly leaderboard
Badge embeds

Add-on from $700

More markets

More venues
Timestamped self reported forecasts
Team calibration
Hiring API

Add-on from $1,200

For investors and grant reviewers

The pitch, ready

Prove you reason well about the world, misses included, and carry that proof anywhere.

Problem: Good forecasters have no portable proof; profit leaderboards reward luck and size.

Solution: Calibration scoring of resolved positions by topic, with exclusions listed and a revocable attestation.

Why now: Prediction markets now hold years of public, resolved positions per wallet.

Market: Forecasters and the research teams, DAOs and funds that hire them.

The ask: Sign five research DAOs to Scout and ask candidates for pedigrees.

Funding is never guaranteed. Check each program's rules.

For hackathons and demo days

Your 2 minute demo

Home: Tunde in Lagos with two years of forecasts.
Import: link two wallets and score 412 resolved calls.
Import: Leo's one big win is not enough to score.
Score: reliability and topic dials; disputed markets listed.
Badge: issue on Base; Ines invites him; topic badges gated behind Pedigree.
Owner Agent: the profit mistake fix.
Owner Revenue: change the Pedigree price.
Owner Growth: sign a research DAO.

Many hackathons require code written at the event. See the Regatta Boardfor each race's rule.

Make it entirely yours

More venues, custom scoring, Scout integrations and branded pages, scoped on a call from $1,000.

Custom from $1,000

BLUEPRINT

Why it matters and how it really works

The need

People who forecast well have no portable way to prove it. Screenshots show wins and hide misses, and profit leaderboards reward luck and bet size, so research groups and editors cannot tell judgment from a lucky long shot.

What exists and what is new

Wallet level calibration scoring already exists: Convexly takes a Polymarket wallet and returns per category Brier calibration and an Edge Score, and SimpleFunctions publishes calibration data. Research verdict: exists, low novelty. What this app adds is portability: a revocable attestation on Base that carries the score, call count, topic list and a method hash, a public page that shows excluded and disputed markets openly, and a minimum sample rule before any badge is issued.

The data it runs on

Resolved prediction market positions that are already public on Polygon (entry prices, sizes, outcomes), the user's signed proof of which wallets are theirs, topic labels per market, and the scoring method version. Wallet ownership proofs stay private.

1.The mission

Let anyone who reasons well about the world prove it, misses included, and carry that proof wherever they are invited to think.

2.Why people can't resist it

The misses are the proof Every resolved call counts, so the badge means something that a screenshot of a win never could.

Score by topic Good on elections and weak on football is more useful, and more honest, than one number.

Resolution Sunday Markets resolve every week and the score moves a hair each time, so people come back to see it.

3.How it works for real

Wallet link: The user signs a message with each wallet to prove ownership. Privy embedded or external wallets, read only, no spending permissions.

Indexer: A worker pulls resolved positions for linked wallets from public Polymarket and Polygon data, caches them, and marks disputed or re-resolved markets as not scored.

Scoring: Entry price is read as the stated probability. Brier score per market, averaged per market rather than per dollar, with reliability buckets and per topic results. Deterministic code, not an LLM.

Topic labels: A small model such as Claude Haiku or GPT-4o mini tags each market into topics once, cached by market id, with a human override list.

Attestation: An EAS attestation on Base stores the score, call count, topic list, window and a hash of the method version. The user can revoke it at any time.

Public page: A shareable page shows the badge, the reliability chart, excluded topics and not scored markets, and links to the attestation so anyone can recompute it.

4.Cost per use and pricing

Indexing and scoring are cheap compute: under 1 cent per wallet refresh. Topic tagging with a small model costs roughly $0.0002 per market and is cached. An EAS attestation on Base usually costs well under 1 cent in gas. Example: 2,000 active users refreshing weekly is about $40 to $80 a month in hosting, indexing and gas.

Free $0

Private score and reliability chart, refreshed weekly.

Pedigree $4 a month

Attested badge on Base, public page, topic breakdown, Sunday digest.

Scout $49 a month

For research groups and editors: search badges by topic and minimum calls, and send invites.

5.Growth loop

Every badge link shared in a group chat or job application is an ad. Research groups that use Scout ask candidates for a pedigree link, which brings forecasters in.

6.Risks and guardrails

Gaming by selection: Users can hide weak topics. The badge always states which topics were excluded, and call counts are shown.

Small samples: A few lucky calls look like skill. A minimum call rule blocks badges below it, defaulting to 50.

Privacy: Linking wallets to a name reveals trading history. Visibility settings default to topic scores only, and users can keep the page private.

Legal and market access: Prediction market access is restricted in some countries. The app only reads public data and never routes trades, but owners should check local rules.

Overclaiming: Past calibration does not promise future accuracy. The page says so and never ranks people by profit.

7.Build order

Wallet link with signed ownership proof
Indexer for resolved positions on Polygon
Brier and reliability scoring by topic
Public page with excluded and not scored markets
EAS attestation on Base with revoke
Weekly Sunday digest email

8.Where this is going

Now
A calibration score by topic and a portable badge for prediction market forecasters.
Next
More sources, from other markets to signed private forecasts logged before resolution.
Later
Research groups, newsrooms and grant panels invite people by pedigree, not by follower count.
The big one
Good judgment becomes a credential anyone can earn and carry, wherever they were born.

Costs and tools are estimates at the time of writing. General information only, not legal or financial advice.

OWNER PLAYBOOK

Own it, then chart your voyage

Nine routes from one vessel. Tap a port to open its chart.

Why own Forecast Pedigree

Good forecasters are invisible: their record is buried in wallet history nobody reads. Own Forecast Pedigree and you run the place where calibration becomes a portable badge, issued from your wallet, under your brand. The forecasters, the research DAOs that hire them and the scoring record are yours.

What’s stopping you?

“Is this connected to gambling?”

It reads public results, it does not take bets. Some countries treat prediction markets as gambling, so keep the app read only and check before adding anything that moves money.

“What if my scoring math is wrong?”

Use a well known method (Brier style scoring), publish the formula, and let people see their raw data. Being transparent matters more than being clever.

“I can't code.”

You do not need to. Forecast Pedigree arrives working, deployed from your own wallet with a written guide for every step. You will click, paste and fill in names. If you ever want a change you cannot make, the custom option or a freelancer can handle it, but the first launch needs no code.

“Is it really mine?”

Yes. The contract is deployed from your wallet on Polygon, the code sits in your own git repo, and the name and brand are yours. DEPLOYR does not hold your keys or take a cut of what Forecast Pedigree earns. If you stop paying anyone tomorrow, the app keeps running on your wallet.

“What if nobody uses Forecast Pedigree?”

That is the most likely early outcome, and it is fixable. The paths below start with you as the first user, then ten real prediction market traders and forecasters you can name today. If ten people you message do not care after you have shown it to them, you have learned something useful in a week instead of a year.

The million-dollar ladder

Free score for anyone, paid verified badges for forecasters, and a monthly plan for research DAOs and funds that search for calibrated people. This ladder is a target, not a promise.

$90

$1,800

$18,000

$85,000

First 10 users

10 verified badges

$9 each

Proof it works

150 forecasters a month

$12 each

Real business

40 research DAOs and funds